Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.190651 0.212473 0.235060 0.260133 0.287129 0.315269 0.346764
2025-01-05 0.161277 0.191039 0.223186 0.260309 0.301811 0.346598 0.398399
2025-01-12 0.139419 0.174329 0.213466 0.260207 0.314114 0.373949 0.444984
2025-01-19 0.121292 0.159534 0.203902 0.258520 0.323267 0.396902 0.486280
2025-01-26 0.108539 0.149543 0.198618 0.260676 0.336021 0.423510 0.531707
2025-02-02 0.100514 0.144368 0.198320 0.268158 0.354697 0.456962 0.585410
2025-02-09 0.090851 0.136115 0.193360 0.269186 0.365027 0.480201 0.627009
2025-02-16 0.083890 0.130680 0.191368 0.273432 0.378997 0.507731 0.673929
2025-02-23 0.079510 0.128261 0.192923 0.281958 0.398239 0.541833 0.729228
2025-03-02 0.071687 0.120372 0.186610 0.279680 0.403284 0.558032 0.762363
2025-03-09 0.065621 0.114451 0.182487 0.279887 0.411234 0.577726 0.799879
2025-03-16 0.059673 0.108186 0.177427 0.278413 0.416655 0.594016 0.833080
2025-03-23 0.056036 0.105298 0.177174 0.283775 0.431675 0.623463 0.884284
2025-03-30 0.051443 0.100531 0.173884 0.284644 0.440508 0.644896 0.925437
2025-04-06 0.047135 0.095838 0.170374 0.284930 0.448379 0.665045 0.965096
2025-04-13 0.042776 0.090665 0.165790 0.283354 0.453454 0.681393 0.999858
2025-04-20 0.039771 0.087510 0.164068 0.285793 0.464065 0.705199 1.044662
2025-04-27 0.038272 0.086846 0.166155 0.293878 0.482759 0.740144 1.104660
2025-05-04 0.035420 0.083500 0.163755 0.295023 0.491426 0.761443 1.146580
2025-05-11 0.033485 0.081663 0.163657 0.299594 0.505038 0.789639 1.198045
2025-05-18 0.032555 0.081636 0.166498 0.308729 0.525423 0.827425 1.262890
2025-05-25 0.029596 0.077417 0.162086 0.306301 0.528638 0.841256 1.295191
2025-06-01 0.027339 0.074366 0.159458 0.306528 0.535690 0.860447 1.334942